The Basics: Social Security Reform has been revised for 2005. Featuring
statistics, graphs, and accessible descriptions of how Social Security works,
who it affects, and the debate about its future, this pamphlet has long been
a popular resource for straightforward information about the program. This edition
features a new final chapter on how the current drive to privatize the program
would jeopardize Social Security's financial health and endanger the prospects
for a secure retirement for millions of working Americans.
Download the complete Basics pamphlet in PDF
format, or email basics@tcf.org with
your address to receive a copy by mail.
Media inquiries should be directed to Christy Hicks (hicks@tcf.org
or 212-452-7723). Read the press
release (PDF).
From the introduction to The Basics: Social Security Reform:
President George W. Bush repeatedly has emphasized that one of his foremost
second-term priorities is a fundamental transformation of the Social Security
program into a system that includes personal investment accounts. Enacted in
1935 and amended many times since, most recently in 1983, Social Security provides
benefits to workers and their family members upon retirement, disability, or
death. Since the programs inception, the size of those benefits always
has depended on the earnings of workers over the course of their careers. President
Bush wants to change the system so that in the future the amount that each worker
collects from Social Security upon retirement would depend on the performance
of investments in his or her own personal account.
Much is at stake in this debate. More than 96 percent of workers pay Social
Security taxes and are thereby entitled to collect benefits from the program.
More than 47 million Americans today receive checks from the Social Security
system. Although the average monthly payment to those individuals is a modest
$895, Social Security constitutes more than half of the incomes of almost two-thirds
of retired Americans. For one in six, it is their only income.
Transforming the system to create new personal accounts for younger workers
while continuing to provide payments owed to todays beneficiaries requires
a huge infusion of additional money. Although the president had not proposed
a detailed plan as of the date this pamphlet was written, most analysts expected
the creation of private accounts to require new federal borrowing amounting
to trillions of dollars. That additional debt could constrain significantly
the nations overall economic performance and the scope of federal activities
years into the future.
President Bush and others who support his approach argue that such dramatic
changes are necessary because Social Security faces a financing shortfall.
According to the Social Security Trustees latest estimates, based on intermediate
economic and demographic assumptions they deem to be neither optimistic nor
pessimistic, Social Security will continue to be able to pay benefits in full
until its Trust Funds are exhausted in the year 2042. After that, funding would
be sufficient
to provide about 73 percent of currently promised benefits. For perspective,
it is worth noting that in 1997, the Trustees predicted that the Trust Funds
would run
out in 2029. So without any changes to the program, the nations improved
economic performance added thirteen years to the estimate of when the system
would
face a genuine crisis.
The reason why Social Security faces a long-term financing challenge, as most
people know, is that the huge baby-boom generation born between 1946 and 1964
will be eligible to begin retiring in about 2008. They will place a strain on
Social Security because a smaller share of the U.S. population will be working
and contributing taxes to the system relative to the number who will be collecting
benefits.
The retirement of the baby boomers was already on the radar in 1981 when President
Ronald Reagan created a commission headed by Alan Greenspan, now chairman of
the Federal Reserve, to strengthen Social Security. At that time, the Social
Security Trust Funds were nearly depleted, and the Greenspan Commission recommended
that those funds be substantially bolstered to avert another such crisis as
the boomer generation retired. Those reforms, enacted in 1983, are projected
to keep the Social Security program solvent through 2042. Right now, Social
Security has reserves in excess of $1.5 trillion, and those reserves are projected
to rise to more than $6 trillion over the next twenty-five years to absorb the
impact of the baby boomers retirement. It should be noted that by 2042,
the majority of the baby-boom generation will no longer be alive.
Whether one favors or opposes the creation of private accounts, the plain fact
is that they would make the challenges facing Social Security more immediate
and severe. The problem is that financing the accounts while sustaining payments
to todays beneficiaries requires drawing down the Trust Funds reserves
much more rapidly, resulting in their depletion about twenty years sooner than
they otherwise would be.
It is no exaggeration to say that Social Security has never been more likely
to be subject to fundamental restructuring than it is today. That is why, aside
from matters of war, the debate over the programs future is more important
to the country and its citizens than any other issue before Congress. In the
end, the right decision will depend on an informed public. This pamphlet, the
fifth updated edition, presents the best available facts, figures, and arguments
about what is right with Social Security, what is wrong with it, and the strengths
and weaknesses of proposals to convert it into a system reliant on private investment
accounts. Download the complete pamphlet here (PDF).
|